Moscow Retaliates at the EU's Plan to Lend Immobilized Russian Cash to Ukraine

Ukraine is facing a severe shortage of funding to maintain its armed forces and economy, after nearly four years of the ongoing invasion by Moscow.

From the EU's perspective, the remedy to plugging Kyiv's funding gap of €135.7bn for the coming 24 months rests with frozen Russian assets held by Belgian bank Euroclear, and EU leaders seek to give it the green light at their meeting in Brussels next week.

Authorities in Russia caution the EU plan would be an act of theft, and Moscow's monetary authority declared on Friday it was taking to court Euroclear in a Moscow court prior to a final decision is made.

'Only Fair' to Use Moscow's Funds, Assert European and Ukrainian Officials

Overall, Russia has roughly €210bn of its assets frozen in the EU, and €185bn of that is in the custody of Euroclear.

European and Ukrainian authorities argue that those funds should be used to rebuild what Russia has destroyed: The European Commission terms it a "loan for reparations" and has proposed a plan to bolster Ukraine's economy amounting to €90bn.

"It's only fair that the assets frozen from Russia should be used to rebuild what Russia has devastated – and that money then becomes Ukraine's," says Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelensky.

Germany's leader Friedrich Merz argues the assets will "allow Ukraine to defend itself efficiently against subsequent Russian attacks".

Moscow's lawsuit was foreseen in Brussels. But it is not just Moscow that is concerned.

The Belgian government is anxious it will be saddled with an massive bill if it all fails, and Euroclear chief executive Valérie Urbain argues using the assets could "disrupt the international financial system".

Euroclear also has an approximate €16-17bn frozen in Russia.

Belgian Prime Minister Bart de Wever has presented the EU with a series of "logical, sensible, and warranted conditions" before he will endorse the reparations plan, and he has left open the possibility of legal action if it "poses significant risks" for his country.

Explaining the EU's Proposal?

European Union officials is under pressure prior to next Thursday's summit to agree on a compromise that Belgium can support.

Until now the EU has held off using the principal funds directly but starting in 2024 has transferred the "extraordinary revenues" from them to Ukraine. In 2024 that totaled €3.7bn. Legally, using the interest is seen as less risky as Russia is subject to sanctions and the earnings are not Moscow's sovereign assets.

But global military support for Ukraine has fallen significantly in 2025, and Europe has had trouble trying to compensate for the deficit caused by the US decision to virtually halt funding Ukraine under President Donald Trump.

There are presently two EU plans aimed at supplying Ukraine with €90bn, to pay for a majority of its financial requirements.

  • Option one is to raise the money on capital markets, secured against the EU budget as a surety. This is Belgium's favored solution but it requires a agreement by all by EU leaders and that would be challenging when Budapest and Bratislava oppose funding Ukraine's military.
  • This makes the other option loaning Ukraine cash from the frozen Russian funds, which were originally held in bonds but have now predominantly matured into cash. That capital is Euroclear property held in the European Central Bank.

Brussels' executive arm accepts Belgium has justified fears and claims it is assured it has addressed them.

The scheme is for Belgium to be protected with a guarantee covering all the €210bn of Russian assets in the EU.

Should Euroclear suffer a loss of its own assets in Russia, the shortfall would be covered from assets belonging to Russia's own clearing house which are in the EU.

In the event that Russia targeted Belgium itself, any decision by a Russian court would not be accepted in the EU.

In a significant move, EU ambassadors are poised to endorse on Friday to immobilise Russia's central bank assets held in Europe indefinitely.

Until now they have had to vote unanimously every six months to renew the freeze, which could have meant a ongoing risk to Belgium.

The EU ambassadors are expected to use an emergency clause under Article 122 of the EU Treaties so the assets stay blocked as long as an "clear risk to the financial well-being of the union" continues.

Why Belgium is Not Yet Convinced

Brussels is firm it remains a committed partner of Ukraine, but identifies regulatory pitfalls in the plan and is concerned about being forced to deal with the consequences if things do not work out.

A typically partisan political environment in this case has united behind Prime Minister Bart de Wever, who is being pressured from European colleagues.

"Belgium is a small economy. Belgian GDP is around €565bn – think about if it would need to shoulder a €185bn bill," comments Veerle Colaert, expert in financial law at KU Leuven University.

Although the EU might be able to secure adequate assurances for the loan itself, Belgium fears an added risk of being vulnerable to extra fines or liabilities.

Prof Colaert also contends the demand for Euroclear to issue credit to the EU would contravene EU banking regulations.

"Financial institutions need to follow capital and liquidity requirements and shouldn't make one enormous loan. Now the EU is asking Euroclear to do exactly that.

"Why do we have these bank rules? It's because we want banks to be stable. And if things turn sour it would fall to Belgium to save Euroclear. That's an additional reason why it's so important for Belgium to obtain water-tight protections for Euroclear."

Europe Facing Strain from All Sides

There is no time to lose, state several EU member states including those neighboring Russia such as the Baltics, Finland and Poland. They argue the scheme involving immobilized capital is "the most fiscally viable and practically possible solution".

"This is a crucial test for us," states leading German conservative MP Norbert Röttgen. "If the plan collapses, I don't know what we'll do subsequently. That's why we have to succeed in a week's time".

While Russia is unyielding its money should not be accessed, there are further worries among European figures that the US may want to use Russia's immobilized billions differently, as part of its own peace plan.

Zelensky has said Ukraine is coordinating with Europe and the US on a reconstruction fund, but he is also mindful the US has been engaging with Russia about possible partnership.

A preliminary version of the US peace plan referred to $100bn of Russia's frozen assets being used by the US for reconstruction, with the US {taking|receiving

Craig Clark
Craig Clark

A seasoned betting analyst with over a decade of experience in sports statistics and risk assessment, specializing in European football markets.